Week 3 is in the books and all I can say is it wasn't pretty. Somehow the Dolphins needed overtime to finish off the hapless Browns last Sunday afternoon. If it wasn't for a 46-yard shank, the last of three missed field goals by freshly acquired Cody Parkey 236 people would have been eliminated from the pool. As it stands 99 were eliminated with the bulk coming from Carolina and Arizona's losses bringing the running total down to 477 survivors.
As we move on to week 4, I feel that this has been the most uncomfortable I've felt picking thus far. The first 3 weeks picks seemed obvious and reflected such in the individual pick breakdown. This week I think we will see some more disparity in picks. Three match-ups stood out to me as options for this week's pick.
The first and probably the most popular pick would be the Redskins over the Browns. On the surface, this feels like a great pick at home and 7.5 point favorites coming off a big win against the Giants. But I believe this could be a trap game. The Browns could very well run a muck of this shoddy Redskins defense. If the Browns can get ahead in this game and establish the run, I have little faith in Kirk Cousins to lead a comeback.
If I had to pick a second team to win this week it would be the Denver Broncos. The Buccaneers just lost a home game to the Los Angeles Rams in which they let up 37 points, to the RAMS! I think that Chris Anderson has a big game and the Broncos win this one easily. The Broncos are looking every bit as good as last years super bowl team and I would argue better on offense.
But I elected to pass on this pick because there was another match-up I liked with the extra benefit of this particular team playing at home. That pick is the Arizona Cardinals. They are the biggest favorites this week by 8.5points against the very Rams I just mentioned. Coming home after a Buffalo beat down to play a division foe they will be looking for some revenge. As long as Todd Gurley doesn't go nuts I think Arizona wins this game easily.
So there is my two cents Cardinals, Broncos, Skins in that order. I think you're good with any of the three but the Browns make me a little nervous. I don't see many opportunities for them to win games this year and this might be the one. Only Detroit goes for broke.
Cheers, Drink Five!