Hello, fellow risk-takers. If you are unfamiliar with my my column, it is geared towards NFL wagering. Every week I'll bring you 3-5 of my most confident, spread based picks, as well as the same amount of point based picks to stay away from. Additionally, I will give you several 3-game, moneyline parlays that I think are a lock to win. Finally, I present my weekly confidence pool picks for those looking for an edge against their competition. As always, good luck and wager wisely!

Hey everybody, I just wanted to mention that this could be one of those weeks with a lot of the away teams walking away with a victory. Another theme is divisional games. Make sure you run your numbers and data an extra time before placing bet slips and making pool picks.

NICK'S PICKS:

SF -9.5  I personally think that the 'Niners should have no problem beating one of the NFC's worst teams(Washington Redskins), by at least 10 points. I know San Francisco is on the road, traveling across the country, but they are looking way too tough for Washington to stop. I lowered the spread on this game a half point, down from 10.0.

JAX -4  Another road team, but in the same time zone as their opponent, the Jaguars are formidable enough to overcome the likes of the sad, sad, Cincinnati Bengals.

TEN -2.5  Can the Titans win by a field goal over the 'what the hell happened to us Chargers'? I think Tennessee's defense can make a victory happen. The offenses have both been adrift in a sea of non-consistent mediocrity.

NICK'S NIX PICKS(stay away from these games if you like your $$$):

(MIN -2.5 / DET +2.5)  Going to be a close division game with the Vikings on the road. Anything can happen.

(HOU +1 / IND -1)  Another division game that will probably come down to a few big plays. Save your flow for another game.

(MIA +16.5 / BUF -16.5)  I hate to sound like a broken record, but I really do hate these inter-division games, especially with spreads near 20 points.

(BAL +3 / SEA -3)  I personally like the Ravens in this game, but the Seahawks keep finding ways to win. Too close for comfort.

(NOS +4 / CHI -4)  Too much can and will go wrong in this game. Injuries, back-ups and good defenses are the themes of this game.

NICK'S ULTRA MONEYLINE PARLAY PICKS:

(SF -424 / BUF -1176 / MIN -145)

(NEP -413 / DAL -149 / HOU +102)

CON-MAN CONFIDENCE(you can't get what I'm selling anywhere else):

* = WINNER

NEP* - 16 - NYJ

SF*   - 15 - WAS

MIA   - 14 - BUF*

JAX*  - 13 - CIN

LAR* - 12 - ATL

LAC   - 11 - TEN*

MIN* - 10 - DET

HOU* - 09 - IND

OAK   - 08 - GB*

ARI    - 07 - NYG*

BAL   - 06 - SEA*

PHI   - 05 - DAL*

NOS* - 04 - CHI

KC*   - 03 - DEN