Fantasy football strategy, rankings, and podcasts

By now, everyone has heard about the third year wide receivers and their breakout years. If you haven't, Troy would like to have a word with you. Over here at drinkfive, we've noticed that there's a lot of guys breaking out in their second season now. I'm not talking about guys who are just getting noticed, I mean guys who are fantasy relevant right now. For example, Alshon Jeffery, T.Y. Hilton, Michael Floyd and Josh Gordon were all second year guys last year. They, with Kendall Wright, all had over 1000 yards receiving in 2013. Here are six guys who you want to seriously consider drafting, and you will find that most, if not all of them, have great draft value as well.

Keenan Allen, SD

2013 Stats: 71 Rec, 1046 Yds, 8 TD's

2014 Projection: 85 Rec, 1250 Yds, 8 TD's

2014 Ranking/ADP: 30 Overall / 37 ADP

(Rankings and ADP from 8/14/14)

Allen was clearly the standout rookie from last season, being the only first year WR to put up over 1000 yards. Allen is definitely the beneficiary of injuries to people around him, but he made the most of it. Allen had only 12 targets in the first 3 games, so he even has room for his numbers to go up! Last year, Allen caught 71 of 105 targets, so Rivers is going to know he can rely on him when he throws it his way. Allen had 5 games over 100 yards receiving and 7 games over 10 points in a standard league. His current ADP at the end of the 4th round is great value for a guy that has a serious chance to be a WR1. Heck, we put him in our top 10 on a podcast in the offseason.

Cordarrelle Patterson, MIN

2013 Stats: 45 Rec, 469 Yds, 4 TD (+ 5 other TD's!)

2014 Projection: 60 Rec, 900 Total Yds, 10 Total TD's

2014 Ranking/ADP: 50 Overall / 51 ADP

(Rankings and ADP from 8/14/14)

Patterson is a fun player to watch. He's got the chance to score every time he touches the ball, and his 9 TD's in three different ways last year goes to prove that. Patterson will be given an increased role in Minnesota this season, and will not be held back by weak quarterbacks as much as his teammates. He has value as a runner and returner, which accounted for 5 of his TD's last year. Patterson was only targeted 77 times last year and I expect that number to go up to near 100. He's currently sitting at the end of the 5th/beginning of the 6th round. He's got a great nose for the end zone and he'll be a great WR3 or flex guy to throw in there this year. Touchdowns mean consistent week-to-week scoring, which is fantasy gold.

Markus Wheaton, PIT

2013 Stats: 6 Rec, 64 Yds

2014 Projection: 65 Rec, 900 Yds, 6 TD

2014 Ranking/ADP: 125 Overall / 174 ADP

(Rankings and ADP from 8/14/14)

Wheaton's 2013 campaign was severely hampered by not one, but two broken fingers - Ouch! Thus far in camp, that injury is showing no lingering effects of the injury. There is no lingering competition, either. Wheaton has the 'X' receiver spot all sewn up, and the 113 receptions that Sanders and Cotchery had need to go somewhere. Expect Wheaton's targets to be somewhere north of 100 and to be an important cog in the up-tempo offense that Pittsburgh will be running this year. Wheaton will definitely be the second guy behind Antonio Brown, but after that, there is really no competition for targets for Wheaton. He has all the talent needed to fill that role on the Steelers, it will just come down to staying healthy. Wheaton's ADP shows that he isn't even drafted in most 10 and 12 team leagues. Wheaton will be a HUGE pickup at the very end of the draft to add quality depth to your roster.

DeAndre Hopkins, HOU

2013 Stats: 52 Rec, 802 Yds, 2 TD's

2014 Projection:70 Rec, 950 Yds, 5 TD

2014 Ranking/ADP: 105 Overall / 126 ADP

(Rankings and ADP from 8/14/14)

Last year, Hopkins had a very respectable 802 yards, but didn't find the end zone enough to be a valuable fantasy player. Houston's awful QB situation last year did him no favors. The addition of Ryan Fitzpatrick is a steady hand that will assure that this does not happen two years in a row. Hopkins had a nice 15 yards per reception and should see increased targets and receptions this year. As long as he can find the end zone a few more times, he will be very worthy of spot starts and bye week replacement duty. His draft position shows he's a very late round flier - I'd suggest Wheaton first though.

Kenny Stills, NO

2013 Stats: 32 Rec, 641 Yds, 5 TD's

2014 Projection: 64 Rec, 1200 Yds, 8 TD

2014 Ranking/ADP: 130 Overall / 161 ADP

(Rankings and ADP from 8/14/14)

Stills is probably my favorite late round flier, and the guy who I will be taking as often as I can - at the end of the draft that is. Last year, Stills lead the league in yards per reception with 20 yards per catch. During the offseason, the Saints got rid of Lance Moore and Darren Sproles whom had a combined 143 targets. We all know that Drew Brees is going to sling the ball all over the place - he had 650 pass attempts last year, his lowest in 4 years (though still insanely high). The Saints are as pass-heavy as any team in the league and Stills is a burner who will catch the ball. Brees will trust him more in year two, and he should double his targets. Stills reminds me of a young DeSean Jackson, but with a better QB.

Terrance Williams, DAL

2013 Stats: 44 Rec, 736 Yds, 5 TD

2014 Projection: 70 Rec, 1000 Yds, 8 TD

2014 Ranking/ADP: 78 Overall / 92 ADP

(Rankings and ADP from 8/14/14)

Williams is in a similar situation to Markus Wheaton. They are both the unquestioned starter opposite a stud #1 receiver (Dez Bryant and Antonio Brown, respectively). They are also both moving up the line because the team got rid of an older receiver. Weird coincidences aside, Terrance Williams did get a lot more experience last year compared to Wheaton. Williams was good for almost 17 yards per catch last year, and won't slow down in his increased role with the high flying Dallas offense. Tony Romo also likes to throw the ball - maybe not as much as Drew Brees, but the Cowboys are certainly a pass first kind of team. Being drafted in the 10th round would be great value for him, but don't hesitate to reach for him in the 9th. That's where you draft WR4's and 5's and Williams is going to be a 3 for sure, with potential to be a WR2.

“Extra Point” takes a look at the league that the writers of drinkfive.com have upheld since the website’s inception. I will provide you with a situational glimpse into my team each week. You can take a more in-depth look at our league here: http://football.fantasysports.yahoo.com/f1/135498/7

Extra Point: Colonel Forbin (1-2)

Chalk one up for the win column! What’s that I smell? I smell home cooking, it’s only the river. Apologizes for my tardiness this week, as I have just gotten back from a beautiful visit to sweet home Chicago. Now that my pizza levels are at maximum I may survive the winter in southwest Florida.

Hopefully Vincent Jackson’s keister was on your bench last week. Don’t let his first touchdown of the season fool you; he was an anemic 2-15-1. He should remain benched until proven otherwise. The injury to Josh McCown may be a blessing in disguise as Mike Glennon will return under center. VJax and Glennon were able to put up borderline WR1 performances on a few given weeks last year, and a much more consistent floor. But if any sort of rhythm develops it will be short lived, because Lovie Smith always goes back to his starters, ALWAYS, even if it means he’s going to lose the Superbowl. (clears throat)

Speaking of quarterback changes, the greatest thing since sliced bread (and the season premiere of South Park) has happened to the Washington Redskins. THE KIRK COUSINS ERA HAS BEGUN. Pierre Garcon and DeSean Jackson owners rejoice! Captain Kirk is a stud and his incredible accuracy and pocket awareness makes this a playoff contending team. Garcon is going to end up looking like a steal this year with an ADP of #43 and DeSean with an ADP of #54. Both of these guys would have gone an entire round earlier if Cousins were the QB from the start.

Here is the Colonel’s victorious Week 4 lineup:

Drew Brees NO – QB

Julian Edelman NE – WR

DeSean Jackson Was – WR

Michael Crabtree SF – WR

Le'Veon Bell Pit – RB

Matt Forte Chi – RB

Travis Kelce KC – TE

Phil Dawson SF – K

Vincent Jackson TB – WR

Dwayne Bowe KC – WR

Ben Roethlisberger Pit – QB

Terrance West Cle - RB

Mohamed Sanu Cin - WR

Knile Davis KC – RB

Another week in the books and I thought it would be fun this week to post some classic memes that at one time were true but now seem like possible jokes of the past.  Dallas may get over the 8-8 slump they have been in the last 3 seasons.... Philip Rivers actually looks like a fantasy stud again.... Cleveland is looking good with a back-up.... and Detroit is still in first (still without a kicker as well).  It has been a fun season thus far (minus some very bad off the field issues) and I don't imagine it slowing down.  Without further ado...

These Bengals will not only win the division this year but I see them going on a playoff run.  Andy may be worth the money after all....

I'm pretty sure Rivers can put the marker down now.  No equations needed to figure out what went wrong, these Chargers look set to make a run for the division as well as possibly more.

This one makes me laugh every time I read it.  Now I don't see the browns doing much in any kind of playoff discussions but I am impressed with the way they have played as of late.

QB

- Mark Sanchez played well on Monday Night Football, letting us all know that he's an upside QB1 for the rest of the year. He ended up with 332 yards, 2 TDs and 0 interceptions which are respectable numbers for any QB.. much less the inimitable butt fumblers. Sanchez will try as hard as he can over the next few weeks to put his past with the Jets behind him and take advantage of the fast-paced offense he finds himself in control of in Philadelphia.
(45% owned)

- Teddy Bridgewater has yet to throw more than 1 TD pass in a game this year, but is slowly gaining composure in the pocket and chemistry with his teammates. Still, he has been averaging about 250 yards and a TD with 0 interceptions over the past two games and is up against the Redskins this week, who have allowed the 2nd most fantasy points to QBs so far this season. If there is any week to play Bridgewater as a fill-in or in a 2 QB league, it's this week.
(7% owned)

- Drew Stanton will be taking over for Carson Palmer after it was confirmed that Palmer tore his ACL and will be out for the rest of the season. Stanton has been a more than capable backup for several teams and should be able to excel in Bruce Arian's offense. Unfortunately his upside is not comparable to what Palmer's was, but he should be a serviceable QB2 all season for fantasy teams. 
(2% owned)

WR

- Andrew Hawkins was picking up steam when he was injured recently but looks to get back on track this week against the hapless Tampa Bay Buccaneers. So far this season they have given up the most fantasy points to WRs and - since Cleveland has been playing well - that doesn't look to change anytime soon. If Hawkins suits up this week, he could be a beast - especially in PPR leagues. His value long-term may be nice as well since Gordon's heralded comeback will take some much-needed pressure from Hawkins.
(38% owned)

- Jordan Matthews caught 2 TDs on Monday Night Football on 7 receptions for 138 yards. Great numbers, Jordan. As rookies go, the class this year has been terrific to watch. While Matthews may have had some unproductive games earlier in the year, he did average about 5 receptions per game so far this season including another 2 TD performance in week 3 against the Redskins. Without a doubt, Sanchez has been comfortable targeting Matthews early and often and as long as they're winning games, why would that change?
(28% owned)

- Jarvis Landry was my secret dolphin pick last week, and he performed well by PPR standards (7rec for 53 yds). Since he has only scored 2 TDs all season and it doesn't look like that will be changing anytime soon, Landry is solely a PPR WR3/4.. but he is a good bet to score you 10 points each week and should be owned in all PPR leagues as a bye week replacement for this reason. 
(11% owned)

- John Brown is the high-risk upside player that you may or may not have been looking for. 5rec for 119yds and a TD in week 8 and 5rec for 73yds and a TD in week 10 tells us that he can compete out there with the best of them, but Arizona's confounding love of spreading the ball around can sometimes stymie the best of us. Kenny Stills? Justin Hunter? Yeah, Brown is right up that alley and should continue to perform in that regard. Roll the dice if you don't have enough other good options.
(4% owned)

RB

- C.J. Anderson was the primary ball-carrier for the Broncos on Sunday and as we know, whoever holds that position has all of the opportunities in the world for fantasy production on a week-to-week basis. Since Hillman is out for at least two weeks, and Ball was not exactly performing at a high level even when he was healthy, Anderson may well get the chance to showcase his talents again in week 11 against the Rams. They are a tough defense, especially lately, but the Broncos (and C.J. Anderson) don't care.
(11% owned)

- Theo Riddick is a name that I've heard called a lot this season, especially when I'm playing either Joique Bell or Reggie Bush in my fantasy lineup. We talk a lot about 3-headed (or more) RBBC's and how frustrating they can be on a weekly basis for fantasy owners.. but I'm not sure this is going to be one of them. It looks to me like Bell has been under-performing and Bush has has lingering issues going into the last half of the regular season that may well continue. All of this means that Riddick will - at least for a short time - be the recipient of a lot of work in the backfield. My money is on 5+ reception for 50+ yards and a TD in week 11 even against a stingy Cardinals' defense.
(6% owned)

Do yourself a favor, and don't mess around with Anthony (Boobie) Dixon or Bryce Brown in the coming weeks. Fred Jackson will eventually feel better, but even until then they will all be out there on the field. Listen, if you have the opportunity to avoid frustration please take it. That's like boarding a boat that has a 33% chance to capsize. If you choose not to take my advice, bring a life raft.. or at least a stiff drink.

TE

- Kyle Rudolph has been injured for quite a while, but a little birdie told me that he'll be back soon. The Vikings have admittedly struggled a little bit without the talents of Rudolph and are surely eager to have those extra receptions and red-zone targets back in the offense. He's not a pick up to play against the Bears specifically.. more like a playoff-run stash, but if he does play on Sunday I would start him without question.
(32% owned)

- Mychal Rivera jumped for 3% to 34% owned this week, and for good reason. As Derek Carr's new toy in the Raiders' get-it-out-quick offense, Rivera has been racking up the receptions in the past three weeks, averaging 7 a game along with a TD. As long as these two are on the same team, Rivera is a low-end top 10 TE for me each week. Grab him before he's gone.
(34% owned)

I'd be remiss if I neglected to mention Austin Seferian-Jenkins, who had a great game in week 10 with 5rec for 30yds and a TD. The Bucs have been using him all year fairly sparingly but that will likely change with McCown taking back the reigns.. we can probably count on a few more receptions per game as the dump-off target with upside. This huge target will always be a threat in the red-zone as well and is a good bye week fill-in if your other options are exhausted.

Defense / Special Teams

Dolphins(vs. BUF), Chargers(vs. OAK), Browns(vs. HOU), Redskins(vs. TB), Broncos(@STL), Cardinals(vs. DET)

The Bears, Packers and Bills are also good choices for week 11.