Fantasy football strategy, rankings, and podcasts

Welcome to Statistically (in)Significant, the place to find great stats that probably only matter at the water cooler (or bar). Each week I'll dig through the stats of the week gone by and deliver you some choice conversation starters. All fantasy stats are half PPR scoring unless otherwise noted.

2.04 Points Per Touch

That’s a hell of a lot of points to gain every single time you touch the ball. When you gain over two points, on average, across an entire game, that’s incredible. When you do that after 26 touches, it means you’ve had a hell of a day. Joe Mixon lit up my fantasy league, your fantasy league – everybody’s fantasy leagues this week. 22 carries, 153 rushing yards, 4 rushing TDs, 4 receptions, 58 receiving yards, and one more receiving touchdown marks the best game he’s had in his career. It’s a top-10 all-time fantasy performance. He scored more than the RB2 and the RB3 combined. More than halfway through his season, he scored 34.8% of his total points. He’s now the RB4 on the season – he would have been as low as the RB18 going into the week. Mixon completely overshadowed a QB who is starting to become a genuine fantasy breakout.

178 Rushing Yards

There was only one player who had more rushing yards than Joe Mixon, and it wasn’t a running back. Justin Fields topped anything that Lamar Jackson has done this season. OK, by 0.1 points, but the hyperbole is irresistible. Fields set a new record – the most rushing yards by a QB in a regular season game (only 3 yards shy of tying the all-time record). Fields has the most fantasy points by a QB over the last 5 weeks, and over the last 3 weeks, he’s stomping on the competition by over 20 total points. So, though it’s happening slowly, the Bears are slowly working a bit more passing into their offense as they’re starting to really click. This week they only ran the ball 58% of the time, considerably down from the 67% they were at when we checked in with them earlier in the season. I wish I could buy stock in Kool-Aid in Chicago right now because everybody around here is drinking it. Fields is trending up, scoring more points than his previous game in each of the last 6 weeks.

3 Straight 100+ Yard Games

Over the last 3 weeks, Travis Etienne has 379 rushing yards, topping 100 in each of those games. Only Derrick Henry has more during that stretch (he’s averaging 150+ during that stretch and has 5 of 100+), but this isn’t about Henry. This entry is about Etienne, a player who is practically a rookie, considering he did not see a single snap last season. He’s finally getting the ball a lot more, with his 3 highest totals of carries over this 3-game stretch. He has scored 4 touchdowns during this time, with his first career score coming back in week 7. Etienne is finally becoming a central focus of the Jaguars' offense and has the backfield almost all to himself after James Robinson was traded to the Jets. Once he can get into a good groove with the passing game, he will be a top-10 RB.

122.7 Receiving Yards per Game

Tyreek Hill is having a hell of a season. Through 9 games, he has a stat line that most players would like to see at the end of the year. Hill already has been targeted 100 times for 76 receptions and 1,104 yards. He’s on pace for over 2,000 yards – 2,085 to be exact. The record was set by Calvin Johnson with 1,964 back in 2012. In many categories, Hill’s stats are better this year than he ever had in Kansas City with Mahomes as his QB. He’s got the highest catch percentage of his career, averaging nearly 2 receptions per game above his career high. He has more than a 30 yards per game average than his best season. Hill is a huge reason that the Miami passing game has exploded. Quietly, they have the second-most passing yards in the league and the third-most passing touchdowns. They’re being incredibly efficient considering they have the 15^th most passing attempts.

31.8 Fantasy Points in the Last Three Weeks

So maybe we’re playing with some by weeks, but as long as I admit that up front, I can use this one – right? Cole Kmet is leading all TEs in total points over the last 3 weeks (though Juwan Johnson is giving him a good challenge, late on Monday night), mostly due to the two touchdowns he scored this week. Kmet’s week 9 total is nearly as many points as he has scored in the last 4 weeks combined. He also had season highs in both receptions and targets, along with his second-highest receiving yardage total. Kmet is looking like he could be a viable weekly starting TE for the rest of the season, provided the Bears' offense keeps looking like a competent NFL team, rather than a team that was far too imbalanced earlier in the year.